In factor, RAPTOR has predicted the home team will win in 70% of games, but home teams only win. 65%. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. RAPTOR is FiveThirtyEight's way of rating players. I suspect their models are badly overfit. Which rookies would go higher, and which ones would go lower? Surprises up and down the lotteryDefensive statistics can always be a little murky, but Mitchell ranks among the league's worst defensive guards in both RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight's all-encompassing advanced statistic, and D-LEBRON. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. You can find a team's total RAPTOR score by simply summing the RAPTOR score of each of the players and use that to compare the teams. 0. FiveThirtyEight. The 6'7" forward would help fortify New York's defense. EloDiff is Team. Who Won The First Republican Debate? By Holly Fuong, Aaron Bycoffe, Humera Lodhi and Nathaniel Rakich. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Live updating forecasts and dashboards. that is subjective. 538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society. 1,021. RAPTOR, which stands for Robust Algorithm (using) Player Tracking (and) On/Off Ratings, is FiveThirtyEight’s new NBA statistic. Statistical models by Jay Boice and Nate Silver. June 30, 2023 6:00 AM No Labels Is Chasing A Fantasy We would like to show you a description here but the site won’t allow us. +2. 5). How this works: These forecasts are based on 100,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Payton might be the purest ball. RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s new NBA statistic, stands for Robust Algorithm (using) Player Tracking (and) On/Off Ratings Dataset with 29 projects 7 files 7 tables Tagged nba sports player. +1. 1,021. 6. -0. Download forecast data. 33. For any game between two teams (A and B) with certain pregame Elo ratings, the odds of Team A winning are: Pr(A) = 1 10−EloDiff 400 + 1 P r ( A) = 1 10 − E l o D i f f 400 + 1. UPDATED 11:49 PM EDT | Jun 12, 2017. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. How could player moves reshuffle the NBA’s tiers? Projected records and playoff odds, based on RAPTOR player ratings and expected minutes, will update when a roster is adjusted. Last season, amongst players that played at least 2,000 minutes, LeBron James was the 10th-best player with an overall RAPTOR of +4. He reached 36. 17. Where every player in the NBA stands, according to RAPTOR. 2028. 2026. Last season, the two-time All-Star further eleva…Forecast: How this works ». Nov. Led by Willis Reed, Walt Frazier and Dave DeBusschere, the Knicks were 23-1 through Nov. Open-Box Fender California Palomino Vintage Acoustic-Electric Guitar. The R-squared was slightly higher for RAPTOR (0. info. According to FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR, another advanced metric that aims to encapsulate a player’s holistic impact, Jokic is 0. 10, 2022. Open-Box Reverend Double Agent W Rosewood Fingerboard Electric. Forecast from. If Drummond keeps up this pace, he’ll become only the third player since the. 36%. November 29, 2022 11:16. Although it is pretty shocking, he is above players such as Steph Curry, Luka Doncic, Paul George, and Giannis. Season. In the latter case, Curry outplaying projections by 7. {"payload":{"allShortcutsEnabled":false,"fileTree":{"":{"items":[{"name":"ahca-polls","path":"ahca-polls","contentType":"directory"},{"name":"airline-safety","path. Jun 21, 2023. Donovan Mitchell is a Top-5 player in the league so far based on WAR. 12 richest NBA players of 2022 – net worths, ranked: from. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Most nights, Porziņģis isn’t facing a. 14-million salary cap assumption. md","contentType":"file"},{"name":"historical. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. January 25, 2023 6:00 AM Yes, 2023 Is An Election Year. [FiveThirtyEight] When the 2022-23 NBA season begins next week, our RAPTOR prediction model sees a league with a field of title contenders more wide-open than at any time in recent history. Interactives. RAPTOR comparison for the best seven seasons (by WAR) of the careers of LeBron James and Michael Jordan Our player-based RAPTOR forecast doesn’t account for wins and losses; it is based entirely on our NBA player projections, which estimate each player’s future performance based on the trajectory. district-urbanization-index- 2022. To study this, we relied on FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR player ratings to tell us which players qualify as stars. 0 points per 100. Mar. police-settlements Public. 0 points per 100 possessions of RAPTOR has had a massive effect on his team’s bottom line; we think he’s already been worth 5. Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. This is the first time all of these information sources have been combined publicly in a single metric. According to the 538 RAPTOR WAR, Tari Eason is the most impactful rookie to winning (+0. Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. Boston had struggled offensively in its season opener, scoring only 91. To help you get ready for the NBA Draft Lottery, we ranked the top 60 prospects in this year's class from the biggest college. It’s not a perfect indication on its own, but there’s no evidence of a. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. 8. player_name,player_id,season,poss,mp,raptor_box_offense,raptor_box_defense,raptor_box_total,raptor_onoff_offense,raptor_onoff_defense,raptor_onoff_total,raptor. 9 : Boston Celtics 12. 8 points above average on defense, ranking in the 65th percentile. This dataset contains data behind the story Introducing RAPTOR, Our New Metric For The Modern NBA and the interactive The Best NBA Players This Season, According To RAPTOR. Ben Hogan, Sam Snead and Bobby Locke won 17 of the 32 majors between 1946 and ‘53. The 2020-21 season marked his second-best season in defensive RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s holistic performance stat. The metrics pulled included Daily Plus-Minus , Estimated Plus-Minus , LEBRON (BBall-Index), RAPTOR (FiveThirtyEight), Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus , Player Efficiency Rating (Basketball. For the latest Rudy Gobert. Desmond Bane is the most impactful early career player, between years 1-4 (+2. All posts tagged “RAPTOR” Jan. FiveThirtyEight. Download this data. Used Condition. Defensively. Our player-based RAPTOR forecast doesn’t account for wins and losses; it is based entirely on our NBA player projections, which estimate each player’s future performance based on the trajectory. Adebayo is a load to handle. FiveThirtyEight's Championship. RAPTOR, which stands for Robust Algorithm (using) Player Tracking (and) On/Off Ratings, is FiveThirtyEight’s new NBA statistic. 1 more wins. RAPTOR (fivethirtyeight. Still, I like RAPTOR for some of the tracking data stats they use as part of their model. Used Morley CLASSIC SWITCHLESS WAH Effect Pedal. Top Politics Stories Today. 2022 FiveThirtyEight Election Forecast. The similarity score is an index measuring how comparable one player is to another, scaled such that a score of zero is average similarity and 100 is the. In their second game of the 2019-20 season, the defending champion Toronto Raptors played the division rival Boston Celtics. 99. Unless someone makes a computer program that analyzes rankings. The ratings change after every game based on the winner's pregame win probability, with more unexpected wins resulting in more points. Boston and Washington pull in Memphis to get blockbuster deal doneJokić has been criticized for his struggles on defense in the past, but according to RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s model that incorporates player tracking data to approximate a player’s value. Most RAPTOR WAR by NBA rookies, 2019-20 regular season* Player Team Games Team WPCT Raptor WAR; Terence Davis: TOR: 57. Who’s ahead in each governors race. Three players have separated themselves…What is FiveThirtyEight? FiveThirtyEight, otherwise known as 538, is a political analyst blog and polling site, which aims to predict election results. Jun 21, 2023. Motivation. 2 — and presumably has a number of good years left in the tank, especially if he plays into. But the advanced stats, as they have been wont to do with JokiÄÐ â ¡, paint a rosier picture: According to FiveThirtyEight’s NBA player ratings, JokiÄÐ â ¡ is second in offensive RAPTOR. 107. FiveThirtyEight's rankings are a lot higher on Burks and Quickley and lower on Obi and RJ than most on the sub appear to be. 32%. 's overwhelming leader in postseason wins above replacement (the cumulative version of FiveThirtyEight's RAPTOR, an adjusted plus-minus metric that incorporates box-score stats, play-by. He currently leads the NBA in blocks per 36 minutes and points created per 100 possessions, and he’s the Knicks’ best player by a comfortable margin in RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s new measure. The blog is run by writer and statistician. Jeff Hornacek, +10. Trusting The Process Playoff Contenders Title Contenders Trusting The Process Playoff Contenders Title Contenders <40% to make playoffs ≥40% to make. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Current status. 248: 4: RAPM (nbashotcharts. 182), suggesting RAPTOR is slightly more prognostic. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. Online. FiveThirtyEight's forecasts and RAPTOR were ubiquitous among online NBA conversations over the last few years, for better or for worse. 모르긴 몰라도 Plus/Minus 마진에서 카펠라와 콜린스가 트레 영보다는. UPDATED Jun. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. Wins Above Replacement is a statistic that indicates the impact they have on their. At FiveThirtyEight, we use Elo ratings to gauge the strength and weakness of NBA teams each season, with those ratings based on our RAPTOR metric for each player on each team. Aaron Tavel . RAPTOR = FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR model, which uses play-by-play and player-tracking data to calculate each player’s individual plus-minus measurements and wins above replacement. com’s LEBRON and third-best on FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR. This year will be no different, especially for the Most Valuable Player award. CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. Mark Sobhani / NBAE via Getty Images. 9. 9m. com has a player ranking of the best in the league using RAPTOR. Season. Conclusions. Online. Forecast from. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. +0. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. info. I used FiveThirtyEight’s new predictive. By Robert O'Connell. Neil Paine was the acting sports editor at FiveThirtyEight. election-forecasts- 2022. By Jay Boice, Reuben Fischer-Baum and Nate Silver. 40%. 2020 Shortlist RAPTOR Category: Innovation (small and large newsrooms) Country/area: United States Organisation: FiveThirtyEight Organisation size: Small Publication date: 10 Oct 2019 Credit: Nate Silver, Jay Boice, Ryan Best, Ella Koeze Project description: RAPTOR, which stands for Robust Algorithm (using) Player Tracking (and) On/Off. info. 803. Every fanbase will make their voices heard if they feel one of their players was snubbed for an award. Excellent Condition. The 76ers won and Embiid had 47 points vs. FiveThirtyEight's RAPTOR model, much like the site's polling models,. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. Be sure to follow us on Twitter and Facebook. 2 dataframes about Raptor players and teams by era. com 247Sports MaxPreps SportsLine ShopMobley started the season hot and continues to be awesome for a rookie, especially on the defensive end, where his unique combination of length, size and agility make him the seventh-ranked defender in the NBA (minimum 1,000 minutes), according to RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s player-rating metric. Open-Box Sterling by Music Man Cutlass CT50HSS Electric Guitar. Wednesday brought. Players whom FiveThirtyEight/RAPTOR projects 5+ WAR from this season . Follow. “The general idea is that the FiveThirtyEight NBA model is based on player ratings, using a system called RAPTOR,” FiveThirtyEight Sports editor Sara Ziegler told Cronkite News. By Alex Amado PHOENIX – In mid-February, even though the Phoenix Suns had the best record in the NBA, they only had the third-best chance to win the NBA Finals, according to FiveThirtyEight’s popular analytical model. 0. Defensive. 13. In addition to being a statistic. Despite leading the league in FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR wins above replacement, JokiÄÐ â ¡’s average Game Score comes in just a hair below 26. Design and development by Jay Boice, Reuben Fischer-Baum and. No matter where you live, you can save with direct delivery. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. 35. RAPTOR is an advanced metric introduced by FiveThirtyEight in 2019, and functions as a smart plus-minus statistic, which takes into account how a player’s team performs when he is both on and off the court. How this works: These forecasts are based on 100,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Wins above replacement projections are based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances. For the second consecutive season, the Brooklyn Nets made a league-shaking deal at the NBA trade deadline. The big man currently leads all players in Estimated Plus-Minus as well as LEBRON (BBall-Index), RAPTOR (FiveThirtyEight), Box Plus-Minus (Basketball-Reference) and BP Box Plus-Minus in 2021-22. “The other thing that people told him was that he wasn’t really a good defensive player,” Jackson said. Notes. In the cases of EPM and RAPTOR, the figures also are by far the best of Gordon’s career to date. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. After a discussion on the conflicting pedagogical goals of “minimizing prerequisites to research” (Cobb 2015) while at the same time presenting students with a realistic view of data. With this, if you wanted…But Payne learned to shoot. com). When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. As part of a new series at HoopsHype, we are examining who should win the NBA MVP award based on what we can learn from advanced analytics. Check out our latest NBA predictions . Preseason predicted standings for the NBA’s 2021-22 Eastern Conference, according to FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR-based forecast Teams finishing in seventh. FiveThirtyEight 47 W. * FiveThirtyEight's Career-Arc Regression Model Estimator with Local Optimization (CARMELO) is a system that forecasts a player‘s future performance. What To Watch For In The 2020-21 NBA Season By Neil Paine. Nate Silver, t…RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s new NBA statistic, stands for Robust Algorithm (using) Player Tracking (and) On/Off Ratings. Kawhi Leonard and Danny Green were traded to the Toronto Raptors for DeMar DeRozan, Jakob Poeltl and a draft pick. Tagged. 2 : Miami Heat 13. 1 : Milwaukee Bucks +5. Jun 14, 2023. Hollinger Stats ; RPM Stats ;In order to convert the team offensive and defensive RAPTOR ratings into wins, the model uses the Pythagorean expectation. 6 percent from three in two games with the Shanxi Loongs. Tony Chow is a video producer for FiveThirtyEight. Used Kramer Pacer. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s new NBA statistic, stands for Robust Algorithm (using) Player Tracking (and) On/Off Ratings. The St. They’ve also performed at a level that has largely justified the allocation of playing time by new coach Wes Unseld Jr. RAPTOR is an advanced metric introduced by FiveThirtyEight in 2019, and functions as a smart plus-minus statistic, which takes into account how a player’s team. 538 introduced their new RAPTOR rating system today. The motivation for creating this package is articulated in The fivethirtyeight R Package: “Tame Data” Principles for Introductory Statistics and Data Science Courses by Kim, Ismay, and Chunn (2018) published in Volume 11, Issue 1 of the journal “Technology Innovations in Statistics Education”. +1. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. As part of a new series at HoopsHype, we are examining who should win the NBA MVP award based on what we can learn from advanced analytics. Design and development by Allison McCann, Jay Boice and Aaron Bycoffe. Filed under NBA. By Jay Boice. Filter by flair. He is the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t. With about 30 seconds left and the Lakers. Here Are The. FiveThirtyEight's soccer predictions calculate each team's chances of winning each match and the league title across <x> leagues. . It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. election-forecasts- 2022. election-forecasts- 2022. He shot 33. Our player-based RAPTOR forecast doesn’t account for wins and losses; it is based entirely on our NBA player projections, which estimate each player’s future. The Republican Path To A House Majority Goes Through The Suburbs. Jokić has been criticized for his struggles on defense in the past, but according to RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s model that incorporates player tracking data to approximate a player’s value. His minutes-adjusted score ranks second-best on BBall-Index. 8 points above average on defense, ranking in the 65th percentile. Jokic had 24 points. Jared Dubin@JADubin5. The Best NBA Players, According To RAPTOR (FiveThirtyEight) Story behind Kings fans’ viral prophecy: ‘We’re getting 40 wins this year!’ (NBC Sports) Trail Blazers’ Damian Lillard misses. 5 points, 10. RAPTOR = FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR model, which uses play-by-play and player-tracking data to calculate each player’s individual plus-minus measurements and wins above replacement. Wins above replacement projections are based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances. Source When the 2022-23 NBA season begins next week, our RAPTOR prediction model sees a league with a field of title contenders more wide-open. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. Filed under NBA. 66th Street New York, NY 10023. But RAPTOR, introduced in 2019 , offers original insight from their data scientists. A. FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR stat loves him, as does a simple contrast of the Raptors’ net rating with him on the floor (6. district-urbanization-index- 2022. They’ve also performed at a level that has largely justified the allocation of playing time by new coach Wes Unseld Jr. 0 Inspired by a recent post which shows Jayson Tatum in the top 5 WAR players (those whose production generate wins for their team when compared to the production of an average NBA player), I decided to look at the worst. Quentin Grimes and Derrick Rose have been the best players on the team on a per minute basis, which most of the sub would agree with. +3. Open-Box Reverend Charger RA. That statistic takes on/off. zatzman (Louis Zatzman, FiveThirtyEight contributor):. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. 2026. Ryan Best, Cooper Burton, Aaron Bycoffe, Chris Groskopf, Alex Kimball, Humera Lodhi, Mary Radcliffe and Maya Sweedler. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Brackets originally published March 13. nba-tattoos. Modified 8 months ago. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Jun. Download this data. It’s official: Amar’e Stoudemire is a New York Knickerbocker no more. The tendency for FiveThirtyEight to overweight home court advantage is clear here, as the y-intercept is negative for both algorithms. Conclusions. All posts tagged “RAPTOR”. We would like to show you a description here but the site won’t allow us. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. CLEVELAND — It was less than a. 152 of 282. The top two teams qualify for next season’s UEFA Champions League. info. 8. 2015-16. A dataframe with 20492 rows representing every player broken out by season and era and 22 variables:The two-time reigning MVP is now a pretty heavy favorite to capture the award for the third consecutive season. The ratings were developed by FiveThirtyEight's Jay Boice, similar to the basic ratings for the NBA. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. Specifically, we get our projected records and team odds by running 50,000 simulations of the schedule. 7, 2022. This would require renouncing or losing multiple free agents. AD is L. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. RAPTOR’s biggest surprises — and disappointments Biggest positive and negative differences between a player’s current 2019-20 total RAPTOR rating and his preseason projected rating Most. RAPTOR is dead. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersAll Activity; Home ; Other Sports ; Basketball ; Los Angeles Clippers Fear SF Kawhi Leonard Has Torn ACLThe Lakers emphasized young talent at the 2023 trade deadlineFor more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. 9 : Philadelphia 76ers 14. 99. The total RAPTOR rating measures an individual player’s point value to his team per 100. The bottom three teams are relegated. A FiveThirtyEight/The Marshall Project effort to collect comprehensive data on police misconduct settlements from 2010-19. Source: The Best NBA Players, According To RAPTOR | FiveThirtyEight. 9. PREDATOR includes a lot of fancy predictors, including height, weight, draft position, true shooting %, usage %, 3 point frequency, FT frequency, assist %, turnover %, rebound %, block %, steal %. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. According to Raptor FiveThirtyEight states that Fred Vanvleet is currently ranked 3rd for Wins Above Replacement. For all burn-in periods ≥ 7 days, the two simple team metrics outperform RAPTOR and Elo. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. -0. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Achiuwa ranked 11th among power forwards in D-RAPTOR — FiveThirtyEight’s catch-all defensive metric — behind some of the best defenders in the game: Draymond Green, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Al. 36. Analytical but narrative -- blending the past and future of sportswriting. 100. As part of a new series at HoopsHype, we are examining who should win the NBA MVP award based on what we can learn from advanced analytics. Trusting The Process Playoff Contenders Title Contenders Trusting The Process Playoff Contenders Title Contenders <40% to make playoffs ≥40% to make playoffs ≥10%. Some teams have existed less than 50 years. data. Interactives. 0 or better in both Box. Through Sunday’s games, O’Neale ranked 16th 1 in the league in FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR WAR metric, posting career highs on both the offensive and defensive side to this point. Neil’s Substack. The Best NBA Players This Season, According To RAPTOR Our ratings, updated daily, use play-by-play and player-tracking data to calculate each player’s individual plus-minus measurements and wins. I've always loved the Jordan vs. According to Raptor FiveThirtyEight states that Fred Vanvleet is currently ranked 3rd for Wins Above Replacement. Almost exactly a year after shipping James Harden to the. How this works: These forecasts are based on 100,000 simulations of the rest of the season. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. NBA Straw Poll : Helps get a feel for where voters may be leaning. 1 rebounds, 6. I’m so sorry to the people impacted by this. FiveThirtyEight's RAPTOR predicts what their decline will look like, using the RAPTOR Wins Above Replacement metric. ABC News. FiveThirtyEight’s NBA Forecast projects the winner of each game and predicts each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the NBA finals. 97. Offensive and defensive ratings for NBA players. “The general idea is that the FiveThirtyEight NBA model is based on player ratings, using a system called RAPTOR,” FiveThirtyEight Sports editor Sara Ziegler told Cronkite News. Posts. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. The RAPTOR forecast theoretically does a better job of accounting for these changes, though it's learning by-the-game about the quality of our players. 1,735. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Wins above replacement projections are based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances and are scaled to an 82-game regular season. LeBron is currently averaging 30. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. Search. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. Projects, dashboards, forecasts and more.